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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Wed 17 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Başakşehir Win

22%

Fatih Karagümrük

4.59

27%

Draw

3.64

51%

Başakşehir

1.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 2

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Fatih Karagümrük xG

Total xG

2.38

1.49

Başakşehir xG

22%
27%
51%
Fatih KaragümrükDrawBaşakşehir

4.59

22%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

1.97

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

23%

Fatih Karagümrük

4.44

41%

Başakşehir

2.43

Win to Nil

5%

Fatih Karagümrük

20.37

21%

Başakşehir

4.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 13.8 10.3 5.1 1.9 0.6
1 8.2 12.3 9.1 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 3.6 5.4 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.2
3 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.887
λ Away (xG) 1.491
Total xG 2.378
League avg home goals 1.312
League avg away goals 1.239
Fatih Karagümrük attack strength 0.599
Fatih Karagümrük defence strength 1.134
Başakşehir attack strength 1.061
Başakşehir defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 39