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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 16 Aug 2026

17:00

Venue

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Başakşehir Win

57%

Başakşehir

1.76

27%

Draw

3.69

16%

Kocaelispor

6.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Başakşehir xG

Total xG

2.59

0.84

Kocaelispor xG

57%
27%
16%
BaşakşehirDrawKocaelispor

1.76

57%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

6.27

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

43%

Başakşehir

2.33

17%

Kocaelispor

5.75

Win to Nil

24%

Başakşehir

4.08

3%

Kocaelispor

36.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 6.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
1 13.1 11.0 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.7 4.1 1.1 0.2
3 6.7 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
4 2.9 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.749
λ Away (xG) 0.844
Total xG 2.593
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Başakşehir attack strength 1.172
Başakşehir defence strength 0.884
Kocaelispor attack strength 0.835
Kocaelispor defence strength 0.937
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34