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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

GAIN Park Stadium

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alanyaspor Win

38%

Alanyaspor

2.62

27%

Draw

3.65

34%

Samsunspor

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Alanyaspor xG

Total xG

2.49

1.21

Samsunspor xG

38%
27%
34%
AlanyasporDrawSamsunspor

2.62

38%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

30%

Alanyaspor

3.35

28%

Samsunspor

3.61

Win to Nil

11%

Alanyaspor

8.78

10%

Samsunspor

10.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.0 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.6 12.8 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.8 8.2 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.285
λ Away (xG) 1.208
Total xG 2.493
League avg home goals 1.586
League avg away goals 1.172
Alanyaspor attack strength 0.976
Alanyaspor defence strength 1.159
Samsunspor attack strength 0.889
Samsunspor defence strength 0.830
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 68