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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 11 Oct 2026

17:00

Venue

Alanya Oba Stadium

Competition

Süper Lig

Turkey

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Alanyaspor Win

57%

Alanyaspor

1.76

25%

Draw

3.92

18%

Erzurumspor FK

5.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Alanyaspor xG

Total xG

2.92

1.01

Erzurumspor FK xG

57%
25%
18%
AlanyasporDrawErzurumspor FK

1.76

57%

Home win

3.92

25%

Draw

5.67

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

37%

Alanyaspor

2.73

15%

Erzurumspor FK

6.81

Win to Nil

21%

Alanyaspor

4.81

3%

Erzurumspor FK

38.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 5.4 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.3 10.4 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.3 6.4 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.918
λ Away (xG) 1.006
Total xG 2.924
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.143
Alanyaspor attack strength 1.047
Alanyaspor defence strength 1.036
Erzurumspor FK attack strength 0.850
Erzurumspor FK defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0