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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 25 December 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Monday 25 December 2023. Hatayspor vs Beşiktaş led the list at 90% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Süper Lig supplies four of the top 5, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 2 FT
Rizespor
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
3 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Pendikspor
1 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
3 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 5 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 25 December 2023?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Hatayspor vs Beşiktaş at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.