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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 25 November 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 25 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Chengdu Better City vs Guangzhou R&F at 81% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
3 : 0 FT
Guangzhou R&F
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
1 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 0 FT
Port FC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
4 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
#5 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
2 : 0 FT
RWDM
Win 21%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
0 : 0 FT
Metal Kharkiv
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 25 November 2022?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Chengdu Better City vs Guangzhou R&F at 81% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.