Sign in Register
⚑

Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 22 August 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 22 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Fenerbahçe vs Adana Demirspor at 86% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
0 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
5 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
5 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
3 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 1 FT
Liverpool
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Honka
4 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 0 FT
Juventus
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 3 FT
Heracles
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
1 : 1 FT
Almeria
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 14 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 22 August 2022?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Adana Demirspor at 86% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.