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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 24 June 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Four matches cleared our threshold on Friday 24 June 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Guangzhou R&F vs Changchun Yatai at 75% in the Super League.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 4, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the over 1.5 goals market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou R&F
1 : 3 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 34%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 15%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 4 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 24 June 2022?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Guangzhou R&F vs Changchun Yatai at 75% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.