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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Thursday 19 May 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 19 May 2022. Grasshoppers vs FC ST. Gallen led the list at 90% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 74%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the over 1.5 goals market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
3 : 2 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 24%
Draw 20%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 2 FT
Norrby IF
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 34%
Draw 22%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
1 : 2 FT
FC Sion
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 League Two Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
0 : 0 FT
Dalkurd FF
Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ IK brage Clean Sheet 58%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
4 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#11 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
1 : 2 FT
Inter Turku
Win 17%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 4 FT
Halmstad
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 13 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 19 May 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Grasshoppers vs FC ST. Gallen at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.