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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 8 March 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 8 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC at 87% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#2 League One Β· England
Bolton
1 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 63%
#3 Championship Β· England
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#4 League Two Β· England
Exeter City
3 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 League One Β· England
Sunderland
3 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 5 FT
Fulham
Win 23%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#7 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
1 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 23%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 League One Β· England
Ipswich
2 : 0 FT
Lincoln
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 8 March 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC at 87% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.