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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 1 March 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 1 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Newport County vs Forest Green at 91% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Newport County
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 24%
Draw 20%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 League One Β· England
Wycombe
3 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
3 : 2 FT
Oxford United
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 League One Β· England
Wigan
2 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
1 : 0 FT
Pordenone
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Alessandria
1 : 1 FT
Como
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Benevento
1 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#11 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
5 : 2 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 1 March 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Newport County vs Forest Green at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.