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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Saturday 3 June 2023

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Saturday 3 June 2023. Antalyaspor vs Hatayspor led the list at 74% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 61%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the one-sided market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
3 : 1 FT
Torpedo Moskva
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
Win 7%
Draw 21%
Win 72%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 66% Marseille Clean Sheet 62%
#4 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
3 : 6 FT
Pacific FC
Win 8%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 69%
BTTS No 56%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 0 FT
Bahia
Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Fortaleza EC Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 58%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
5 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
1 : 0 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
2 : 0 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 9 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Saturday 3 June 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Antalyaspor vs Hatayspor at 74% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.