Twente 0-0 Feyenoord – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Feyenoord at 44%, yet other data sources diverge — this Twente vs Feyenoord fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Twente and Feyenoord meet at De Grolsch Veste in Eredivisie, Regular Season - 14. This fixture gets under way on Sunday 28 November 2021 at 13:30 UTC.
Current Form
Twente's overall Eredivisie record this term: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games (2.00 PPG). Last five: D L L W W. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 1.30 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Twente, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Twente's form when playing at home: 3W 2D 1L across 6 games at De Grolsch Veste this term (1.83 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Feyenoord have collected 2.20 PPG across 10 Eredivisie outings this season: 7W 1D 2L. Last five: D W W W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.50 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Feyenoord, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Feyenoord have gone 4W 0D 2L from 6 away fixtures this term (2.00 PPG). They are averaging 2.33 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. 3 away clean sheets from 6 games (50%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 2.00 PPG for Twente against 2.20 for Feyenoord. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
Trading
Twente half-time and goal-timing data (12 games, 6 at home): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 60% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 67% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 33% of games (home games).
Feyenoord half-time and goal-timing data (12 games, 6 at away): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 83% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 67%; they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Twente 67% versus Feyenoord 50%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Twente 42% | Feyenoord 75%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Twente 1.13 xG and Feyenoord 1.45 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Twente attack 0.870 / defence 0.957 | Feyenoord attack 1.101 / defence 1.031. League average goals — home 1.263 / away 1.371. Data: 13 Twente games / 12 Feyenoord games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Twente 30% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 44%. Fair-value odds: Twente 3.33 | Draw 3.85 | Feyenoord 2.27. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 26% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 48% | BTTS probability 52% | Total xG 2.58. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 48%/52% — the total xG of 2.58 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 52% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Feyenoord at 44% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 26% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Feyenoord if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.58 combined xG gives a 48% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 52%. Form rates corroborate: Twente 67% | Feyenoord 50% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Twente vs Feyenoord | Competition: Eredivisie, Regular Season - 14 | Venue: De Grolsch Veste • Kick-off: Sunday 28 Nov 2021, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Twente 30% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 44% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 48% | BTTS 52% | xG Twente 1.13 / Feyenoord 1.45 • Poisson strength factors: Twente attack 0.870 / def 0.957 | Feyenoord attack 1.101 / def 1.031 | league avg home 1.263 / away 1.371 • Poisson stance: Feyenoord (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.13
Twente xG
Expected Goals
1.45
Feyenoord xG
52%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
48%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Twente vs Feyenoord kick off?
Twente vs Feyenoord kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 28 November 2021 at De Grolsch Veste.
What was the final score in Twente vs Feyenoord?
Twente 0 - 0 Feyenoord.
Where is Twente vs Feyenoord being played?
The match is being played at De Grolsch Veste.
What competition is Twente vs Feyenoord part of?
Twente vs Feyenoord is a Regular Season - 14 fixture in the Eredivisie (Netherlands).
Who is favourite to win Twente vs Feyenoord?
Our statistical model gives Twente a 30% chance of winning, Feyenoord a 44% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making Feyenoord the favourite.
Will both teams score in Twente vs Feyenoord?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Twente and Feyenoord will score (BTTS).
Will Twente vs Feyenoord have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 48%.
What is the head-to-head record between Twente and Feyenoord?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Twente and Feyenoord in?
Twente (all comps): 6W-2D-2L in 10 | 2.00 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 1.30 | L5 D-L-L-W-W. Feyenoord (all comps): 7W-1D-2L in 10 | 2.20 PPG | GF 2.50 / GA 1.30 | L5 D-W-W-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Twente's attacking strength (0.87x league average) is weighed against Feyenoord's defensive record (1.03x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.13. Flip it around — Feyenoord's attack (1.10x) against Twente's defence (0.96x) — and the away total comes out at 1.45.
These ratings are built from 13/12 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.0%. Close behind: 0-1 (9.3%), 0-0 (9.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Feyenoord Win
30%
3.37
26%
3.83
44%
2.26
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.0%
Away win
1 – 2
9.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.13
Twente xG
Total xG
2.58
1.45
Feyenoord xG
3.37
30%
Home win
3.83
26%
Draw
2.26
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.93
48%
BTTS No
2.08
Clean Sheet
24%
4.24
32%
3.11
Win to Nil
7%
14.31
14%
7.03
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 11.0 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 8.6 | 12.4 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Twente vs Feyenoord?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.0%.
How many goals are Twente and Feyenoord expected to score?
The model projects 1.13 expected goals for Twente and 1.45 for Feyenoord, a combined total of 2.58.
How confident is the prediction model for Twente vs Feyenoord?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Twente come into this having played 12 games, going 6W 3D 3L for 1.75 points per game. Their last five reads D-L-L-W-W. The sample for Twente is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Feyenoord sit at 2.33 PPG from 12 outings (9W 1D 2L), a run that reads D-W-W-W-W across their last five. The sample for Feyenoord is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Feyenoord carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.58 PPG clear of Twente — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
How They Fare by Venue
Twente's home form reads 3W 2D 1L across 6 games on their own ground, a 1.83 PPG return.
Away from home, Feyenoord have taken 2.00 points per game from 6 outings (4W 0D 2L).
Attack vs Defence
Twente are averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game recently; Feyenoord are on 2.58 scored and 1.08 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Twente have seen both teams score in 67% of their recent games.
Defensively: Feyenoord in 50% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 12 Results — Eredivisie
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Twente
Blended
Feyenoord
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Twente and Feyenoord in coming into this match?
Twente have gone 6W 3D 3L in their last 12 games (1.75 PPG), while Feyenoord have gone 9W 1D 2L in their last 12 (2.33 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Twente at home or Feyenoord away?
Feyenoord's away record (2.00 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Twente at home: 1.83 PPG; Feyenoord away: 2.00 PPG.
Have Twente or Feyenoord been keeping clean sheets recently?
Twente have kept a clean sheet in 25% of their recent games, Feyenoord in 50%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to November 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Eredivisie. They last met on 1 March 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Feyenoord won 2-6 on 16 Mar 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Twente have gone 2W 2D 1L from 5 meetings on their own ground against Feyenoord — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
3
Twente
4
Draws
3
Feyenoord
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Twente and Feyenoord?
From 10 meetings on record, Twente have won 3, Feyenoord have won 3, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Twente and Feyenoord last play each other?
They last met on 1 March 2026, when Twente 2-0 Feyenoord.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Twente see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
Feyenoord are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 50% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Twente 67%, Feyenoord 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 33% (Twente) and 83% (Feyenoord). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 17% and 67% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Twente keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Feyenoord in 50%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Twente home games / Feyenoord away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Twente play Feyenoord?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 67% of Twente's games and 50% of Feyenoord's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Twente vs Feyenoord usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 33% of Twente's matches and 83% of Feyenoord's.
Do Twente and Feyenoord tend to score early?
Twente have had a goal before half-time in 50% of their recent matches, Feyenoord in 83% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Twente's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Twente and Feyenoord finished level at 0-0 at De Grolsch Veste, Regular Season - 14, in the Eredivisie. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Twente 1.13 xG and Feyenoord 1.45 xG, a combined 2.58. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Twente fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Feyenoord landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Twente attack 0.87 / defence 0.96 against Feyenoord attack 1.10 / defence 1.03, drawn from 13/12 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Twente 30% | Draw 26% | Feyenoord 44%, with Feyenoord to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Twente 42%, Feyenoord 75%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Twente's trading profile (12 games, 6 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.
Feyenoord's trading profile (12 games, 6 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Feyenoord arrived the stronger side — 2.33 PPG against 1.75. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Twente (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.33 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.83 average — tighter than their form line. Feyenoord (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.33 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.17 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.