FC Volendam 0-2 Feyenoord – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Feyenoord at 70% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this FC Volendam vs Feyenoord encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Eredivisie encounter, Regular Season - 13 sees Feyenoord travel to Kras Stadion to take on FC Volendam. The game is scheduled for Sunday 6 November 2022, 13:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, FC Volendam stand at 1W 2D 7L from 10 Eredivisie matches — 0.50 PPG. Last five: L L D L L. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.70 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.70 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for FC Volendam, so this record blends games from this season and last.
FC Volendam's home record at Kras Stadion: 3W 1D 6L from 10 Eredivisie appearances (1.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 90% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.00 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.50 — FC Volendam are significantly better at Kras Stadion than their overall form suggests.
Feyenoord — All Games: 6W 3D 1L from 10 Eredivisie fixtures this season — 2.10 PPG. Last five: L D W W D. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.20 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for Feyenoord, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Feyenoord's form when playing away from home: 7W 1D 2L across 10 road games this term (2.20 PPG). They are averaging 2.70 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. Both teams have scored in 80% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
Form points away from home here. Feyenoord's 2.10 PPG return is 1.60 points per game ahead of FC Volendam's 0.50 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
Both teams score in over 80% of each side's relevant games (using home/away splits). At that combined rate, BTTS Yes is as well-evidenced as it gets — the data strongly backs two-way scoring.
Trading Patterns
FC Volendam in-play and half-time data (45 games, 22 at home): they score before half-time in 96% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; BTTS occurs in 82% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 86% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 53%.
Feyenoord in-play and half-time data (45 games, 22 at away): they score before half-time in 77% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; BTTS occurs in 68% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 68% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 47%; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — FC Volendam 76% and Feyenoord 56% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (FC Volendam 69% | Feyenoord 64%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects FC Volendam 1.50 xG and Feyenoord 3.14 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: FC Volendam attack 0.931 / defence 1.622 | Feyenoord attack 1.464 / defence 0.973. League average goals — home 1.661 / away 1.323. Feyenoord have an above-average attack strength of 1.464 — the away xG of 3.14 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 12 FC Volendam games / 45 Feyenoord games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: FC Volendam 15% | Draw 15% | Feyenoord 70%. Fair-value odds: FC Volendam 6.67 | Draw 6.67 | Feyenoord 1.43. The model has a clear lean to Feyenoord (70%) — a 55pp gap over the next-most-likely outcome reflects a meaningful statistical advantage.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 84% | BTTS probability 74% | Total xG 4.65. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 84% — a total xG of 4.65 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 74% reflects that both xG figures (1.50 / 3.14) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Feyenoord are the pick at 70% — clear model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support.
On the goals line, Poisson's 4.65 combined xG gives a 84% probability to Over 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 4.3 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 74% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: FC Volendam 90% | Feyenoord 80% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: FC Volendam vs Feyenoord | Competition: Eredivisie, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: Kras Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 6 Nov 2022, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: FC Volendam 15% | Draw 15% | Feyenoord 70% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 84% | BTTS 74% | xG FC Volendam 1.50 / Feyenoord 3.14 • Poisson strength factors: FC Volendam attack 0.931 / def 1.622 | Feyenoord attack 1.464 / def 0.973 | league avg home 1.661 / away 1.323 • Poisson stance: Feyenoord (70%) — strong lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.50
FC Volendam xG
Expected Goals
3.14
Feyenoord xG
74%
BTTS
95%
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does FC Volendam vs Feyenoord kick off?
FC Volendam vs Feyenoord kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 6 November 2022 at Kras Stadion.
What was the final score in FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
FC Volendam 0 - 2 Feyenoord.
Where is FC Volendam vs Feyenoord being played?
The match is being played at Kras Stadion.
What competition is FC Volendam vs Feyenoord part of?
FC Volendam vs Feyenoord is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the Eredivisie (Netherlands).
Who is favourite to win FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Our statistical model gives FC Volendam a 15% chance of winning, Feyenoord a 70% chance, and a 15% chance of a draw — making Feyenoord the favourite.
Will both teams score in FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Our model estimates a 74% probability that both FC Volendam and Feyenoord will score (BTTS).
Will FC Volendam vs Feyenoord have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 84%.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Volendam and Feyenoord?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are FC Volendam and Feyenoord in?
FC Volendam (all comps): 1W-2D-7L in 10 | 0.50 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 2.70 | L5 L-L-D-L-L. Feyenoord (all comps): 6W-3D-1L in 10 | 2.10 PPG | GF 2.20 / GA 1.00 | L5 L-D-W-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from FC Volendam's attack rating (0.93) and Feyenoord's defence rating (0.97), the model arrives at 1.50 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Feyenoord's attack versus FC Volendam's defence, projects 3.14 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 12/45 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-3 emerges as the single most likely result, at 7.5%. Close behind: 1-2 (7.1%), 1-4 (5.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 20% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Feyenoord Win
15%
6.52
15%
6.81
70%
1.43
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 3
7.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 2
7.1%
Away win
1 – 4
5.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.50
FC Volendam xG
Total xG
4.65
3.14
Feyenoord xG
6.52
15%
Home win
6.81
15%
Draw
1.43
70%
Away win
Goals Markets
95%
Over 1.5
1.05
5%
Under 1.5
20.00
84%
Over 2.5
1.19
16%
Under 2.5
6.25
68%
Over 3.5
1.47
32%
Under 3.5
3.12
50%
Over 4.5
2.00
50%
Under 4.5
2.00
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
74%
BTTS Yes
1.34
26%
BTTS No
3.91
Clean Sheet
4%
23.15
22%
4.50
Win to Nil
1%
150.91
16%
6.43
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| 1 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 5.9 | 3.7 |
| 2 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 2.8 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Our Poisson model rates 1-3 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 7.5%.
How many goals are FC Volendam and Feyenoord expected to score?
The model projects 1.50 expected goals for FC Volendam and 3.14 for Feyenoord, a combined total of 4.65.
How confident is the prediction model for FC Volendam vs Feyenoord?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 70%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
FC Volendam's recent record stands at 20W 13D 12L from 45 games, a 1.62 PPG return, with L-L-D-L-L in the last five. The sample for FC Volendam is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Feyenoord, meanwhile, have gone 29W 8D 8L across 45 games — 2.11 PPG, with L-D-W-W-D in their last five. The sample for Feyenoord is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours Feyenoord by 0.49 — a real, if not enormous, edge over FC Volendam heading into this one.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, FC Volendam have managed 13W 3D 6L from 22 games — 1.91 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Feyenoord's away record stands at 14W 3D 5L across 22 trips, a 2.05 PPG haul.
The Goals Picture
FC Volendam are averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game recently; Feyenoord are on 2.29 scored and 1.02 conceded. Both sides have been scoring freely, which tends to support the goals markets running hot in this fixture.
On BTTS specifically: FC Volendam have seen both teams score in 76% of their recent games.
Defensively: Feyenoord in 40% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 45 Results — Eredivisie
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
FC Volendam
Blended
Feyenoord
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are FC Volendam and Feyenoord in coming into this match?
FC Volendam have gone 20W 13D 12L in their last 45 games (1.62 PPG), while Feyenoord have gone 29W 8D 8L in their last 45 (2.11 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — FC Volendam at home or Feyenoord away?
Feyenoord's away record (2.05 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — FC Volendam at home: 1.91 PPG; Feyenoord away: 2.05 PPG.
Have FC Volendam or Feyenoord been keeping clean sheets recently?
FC Volendam have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their recent games, Feyenoord in 40%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between FC Volendam and Feyenoord runs to 6 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to November 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Eredivisie. They last met on 5 April 2026, roughly 3 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
FC Volendam's record when hosting Feyenoord specifically: 0W 2D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
0
FC Volendam
2
Draws
4
Feyenoord
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between FC Volendam and Feyenoord?
From 6 meetings on record, FC Volendam have won 0, Feyenoord have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did FC Volendam and Feyenoord last play each other?
They last met on 5 April 2026, when FC Volendam 0-0 Feyenoord.
Who has won more matches between FC Volendam and Feyenoord?
Feyenoord have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
FC Volendam are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 96% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 41% of the time.
Feyenoord are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 77% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 36% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — FC Volendam at 82%, Feyenoord at 68%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 86% for FC Volendam and 68% for Feyenoord. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 64% and 50% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Feyenoord in 32%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = FC Volendam home games / Feyenoord away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when FC Volendam play Feyenoord?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 82% of FC Volendam's games and 68% of Feyenoord's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is FC Volendam vs Feyenoord usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 86% of FC Volendam's matches and 68% of Feyenoord's.
Do FC Volendam and Feyenoord tend to score early?
FC Volendam have had a goal before half-time in 96% of their recent matches, Feyenoord in 77% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Feyenoord cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over FC Volendam.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Feyenoord beat FC Volendam 0-2 at Kras Stadion, Regular Season - 13, in the Eredivisie. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Volendam 1.50 xG and Feyenoord 3.14 xG, a combined 4.65. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. FC Volendam fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Feyenoord landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Volendam attack 0.93 / defence 1.62 against Feyenoord attack 1.46 / defence 0.97, drawn from 12/45 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Volendam 15% | Draw 15% | Feyenoord 70%, with Feyenoord to win its most likely call at 70%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 84%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 95% and landed. Over 3.5 was 68% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 74% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 67% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Volendam 69%, Feyenoord 64%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 66%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
FC Volendam's trading profile (45 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 76% of their matches — today it did not.
Feyenoord's trading profile (45 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Feyenoord arrived the stronger side — 2.11 PPG against 1.62. The form guide was vindicated by the result. FC Volendam (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.18 scoring average — below par going forward. Feyenoord (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.27 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.