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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 2 November 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 2 November 2024. SHANGHAI SIPG vs Tianjin Teda led the list at 78% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 58%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the home win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
5 : 0 FT
Tianjin Teda
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
0 : 0 FT
Grazer AK
Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Championship Β· England
Leeds
3 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 18%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Leeds Clean Sheet 58%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
2 : 2 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 62%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 1 FT
FC Sion
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
0 : 2 FT
Prachuap
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
3 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#14 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
2 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
7 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
4 : 3 FT
Leganes
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#19 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 1 FT
Al Kholood
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 63%
#20 Championship Β· England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 2 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Tianjin Teda at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.