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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 25 May 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 25 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to AC Milan vs Salernitana at 78% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the home win market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 3 FT
Salernitana
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 62%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
2 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
4 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
4 : 1 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
3 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#9 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62% Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 53%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
2 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 13 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 25 May 2024?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by AC Milan vs Salernitana at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.