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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Thursday 7 December 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Thursday 7 December 2023. Feyenoord vs FC Volendam led the list at 78% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 57%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the home win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 3 FT
Gremio
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
4 : 2 FT
FC Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%

Showing top 5 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Thursday 7 December 2023?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs FC Volendam at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.