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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 8 April 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Saturday 8 April 2023. PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior sits top on 92% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the home win market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 92%
Draw 6%
Win 2%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
2 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 62%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 0 FT
Al Bataeh
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 66% SC Braga Clean Sheet 59%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
1 : 0 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 3 FT
Villarreal
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
2 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 FT
Levadiakos
Win 61%
Draw 30%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 57%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Metal Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 0 FT
Trabzonspor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
4 : 1 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
0 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
OH Leuven
4 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 16 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 8 April 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior at 92% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.