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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Tuesday 27 December 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 27 December 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Shandong Luneng vs Meizhou Kejia at 83% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the home win market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 56% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
3 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Manchester United Clean Sheet 61%
#3 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
3 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%

Showing top 7 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Tuesday 27 December 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Meizhou Kejia at 83% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.