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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 25 December 2022

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Sunday 25 December 2022. Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Sharjah FC sits top on 3.20 in the Pro League.

Pro League supplies three of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the goal fest market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 2 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 8%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 77%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
2 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
0 : 1 FT
Ajman
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 6 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 25 December 2022?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Sharjah FC at 3.20 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.