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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Monday 8 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Monday 8 August 2022. Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido led the list at 3.73 in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 3.73 down to 2.70, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the goal fest market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
2 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
0 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
0 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
3 : 4 FT
Union La Calera
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
4 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
5 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 3 FT
Ümraniyespor
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
0 : 0 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 2 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
3 : 1 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Monday 8 August 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido at 3.73 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.