Eintracht Braunschweig 0-0 SC Paderborn 07 – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates SC Paderborn 07 at 42% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A 2. Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 13 sees SC Paderborn 07 travel to Eintracht-Stadion to take on Eintracht Braunschweig. The game is scheduled for Saturday 22 October 2022, 12:00 UTC.
Form Guide
Eintracht Braunschweig — All Games: 4W 3D 3L from 10 2. Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 1.50 points per game. Last five: D W D W W. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.60 conceded. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, Eintracht Braunschweig have posted 3W 1D 2L at Eintracht-Stadion — 1.67 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 67% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Across all 2. Bundesliga games this season, SC Paderborn 07 have recorded 7W 1D 2L from 10 outings — 2.20 PPG. Last five: W L L W W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.60 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for SC Paderborn 07, so this record blends games from this season and last.
SC Paderborn 07 away from home this season: 4W 2D 4L from 10 away games — 1.40 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. Their away PPG of 1.40 is notably below their overall 2.20 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. SC Paderborn 07 are 0.70 PPG ahead (2.20 vs 1.50), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
Trading Patterns
Eintracht Braunschweig in-play and half-time data (12 games, 5 at home): they score before half-time in 40% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 86% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 80% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 80% of games (home games); they fail to score in 33% of games.
SC Paderborn 07 in-play and half-time data (12 games, 5 at away): they score before half-time in 80% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 80% of games (away games); they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Eintracht Braunschweig 58% versus SC Paderborn 07 50%; no strong lean in either direction. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (Eintracht Braunschweig 58% | SC Paderborn 07 83%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Braunschweig 1.39 xG and SC Paderborn 07 1.62 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.037 / defence 1.143 | SC Paderborn 07 attack 1.088 / defence 0.888. League average goals — home 1.512 / away 1.300. Data: 12 Eintracht Braunschweig games / 46 SC Paderborn 07 games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 32% | Draw 26% | SC Paderborn 07 42%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Braunschweig 3.12 | Draw 3.85 | SC Paderborn 07 2.38. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 26% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 58% | BTTS probability 61% | Total xG 3.01. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 58% — the 3.01 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 61% reflects that both xG figures (1.39 / 1.62) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, SC Paderborn 07 are the pick at 42% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on SC Paderborn 07 offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.01 combined xG gives a 58% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 61% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Eintracht Braunschweig 67% | SC Paderborn 07 40%.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: Eintracht-Stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 22 Oct 2022, 12:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 32% | Draw 26% | SC Paderborn 07 42% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 58% | BTTS 61% | xG Eintracht Braunschweig 1.39 / SC Paderborn 07 1.62 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.037 / def 1.143 | SC Paderborn 07 attack 1.088 / def 0.888 | league avg home 1.512 / away 1.300 • Poisson stance: SC Paderborn 07 (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.39
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Expected Goals
1.62
SC Paderborn 07 xG
61%
BTTS
81%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 kick off?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 kicked off at 12:00 on Saturday 22 October 2022 at Eintracht-Stadion.
What was the final score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07?
Eintracht Braunschweig 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07.
Where is Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 being played?
The match is being played at Eintracht-Stadion.
What competition is Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 part of?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 32% chance of winning, SC Paderborn 07 a 42% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw — making SC Paderborn 07 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our model estimates a 61% probability that both Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07 will score (BTTS).
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 58%.
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07 in?
Eintracht Braunschweig (all comps): 4W-3D-3L in 10 | 1.50 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.60 | L5 D-W-D-W-W. SC Paderborn 07 (all comps): 7W-1D-2L in 10 | 2.20 PPG | GF 2.60 / GA 1.00 | L5 W-L-L-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Eintracht Braunschweig's attacking strength (1.04x league average) is weighed against SC Paderborn 07's defensive record (0.89x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.39. The same calculation in reverse, SC Paderborn 07's attack versus Eintracht Braunschweig's defence, projects 1.62 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 12/46 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.5%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.0%), 2-1 (7.7%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
SC Paderborn 07 Win
32%
3.10
26%
3.92
42%
2.37
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.0%
Away win
0 – 1
8.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.39
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Total xG
3.01
1.62
SC Paderborn 07 xG
3.10
32%
Home win
3.92
26%
Draw
2.37
42%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.64
39%
BTTS No
2.56
Clean Sheet
20%
5.04
25%
4.02
Win to Nil
6%
15.60
10%
9.54
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 6.9 | 11.1 | 9.0 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 7.7 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.5%.
How many goals are Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07 expected to score?
The model projects 1.39 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.62 for SC Paderborn 07, a combined total of 3.01.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Eintracht Braunschweig's recent record stands at 4W 3D 5L from 12 games, a 1.25 PPG return, with D-W-D-W-W in the last five. The sample for Eintracht Braunschweig is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
SC Paderborn 07, meanwhile, have gone 8W 1D 3L across 12 games — 2.08 PPG, with W-L-L-W-W in their last five. The sample for SC Paderborn 07 is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours SC Paderborn 07 by 0.83 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Eintracht Braunschweig heading into this one.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, Eintracht Braunschweig have managed 3W 1D 1L from 5 games — 2.00 PPG in front of their own supporters. That's noticeably better than their 1.25 PPG overall — Eintracht Braunschweig are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
SC Paderborn 07's away record stands at 2W 1D 2L across 5 trips, a 1.40 PPG haul. That's a step down from their 2.08 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of SC Paderborn 07's season.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Eintracht Braunschweig come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Eintracht Braunschweig are averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game recently; SC Paderborn 07 are on 2.67 scored and 1.00 conceded.
Defensively: SC Paderborn 07 in 50% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 12 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
SC Paderborn 07
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07 in coming into this match?
Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 4W 3D 5L in their last 12 games (1.25 PPG), while SC Paderborn 07 have gone 8W 1D 3L in their last 12 (2.08 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Braunschweig at home or SC Paderborn 07 away?
Eintracht Braunschweig's home record (2.00 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Braunschweig at home: 2.00 PPG; SC Paderborn 07 away: 1.40 PPG.
Have Eintracht Braunschweig or SC Paderborn 07 been keeping clean sheets recently?
Eintracht Braunschweig have kept a clean sheet in 8% of their recent games, SC Paderborn 07 in 50%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07 runs to 8 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. They last met on 7 March 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 28 Apr 2023, when SC Paderborn 07 won 5-1 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Eintracht Braunschweig's record when hosting SC Paderborn 07 specifically: 1W 1D 2L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
2
Eintracht Braunschweig
3
Draws
3
SC Paderborn 07
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07?
From 8 meetings on record, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 2, SC Paderborn 07 have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07 last play each other?
They last met on 7 March 2026, when SC Paderborn 07 1-1 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07?
SC Paderborn 07 have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Eintracht Braunschweig see a goal before the break in 40% of their matches.
SC Paderborn 07 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 20% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
The Numbers That Matter
Both teams scoring has been the norm for this pairing lately — Eintracht Braunschweig at 80%, SC Paderborn 07 at 60%. That combined rate makes BTTS Yes a well-supported trading angle.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 80% for Eintracht Braunschweig and 80% for SC Paderborn 07. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 40% and 20% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: SC Paderborn 07 in 40%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Braunschweig home games / SC Paderborn 07 away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Eintracht Braunschweig play SC Paderborn 07?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 80% of Eintracht Braunschweig's games and 60% of SC Paderborn 07's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of Eintracht Braunschweig's matches and 80% of SC Paderborn 07's.
Do Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07 tend to score early?
Eintracht Braunschweig have had a goal before half-time in 40% of their recent matches, SC Paderborn 07 in 80% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Eintracht Braunschweig's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Eintracht Braunschweig and SC Paderborn 07 finished level at 0-0 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 13, in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.39 xG and SC Paderborn 07 1.62 xG, a combined 3.01. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Eintracht Braunschweig fell 1.4 short of their projected output. SC Paderborn 07 landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.04 / defence 1.14 against SC Paderborn 07 attack 1.09 / defence 0.89, drawn from 12/46 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 32% | Draw 26% | SC Paderborn 07 42%, with SC Paderborn 07 to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 81% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 71% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 58%, SC Paderborn 07 83%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (12 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
SC Paderborn 07's trading profile (12 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, SC Paderborn 07 arrived the stronger side — 2.08 PPG against 1.25. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line. SC Paderborn 07 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.60 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.20 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.