Lahti 0-0 Kooteepee – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Lahti at 50% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Lahti vs Kooteepee encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Lahti and Kooteepee meet at Lahden Stadion in Veikkausliiga, Regular Season - 6. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 13 May 2023 at 12:00 UTC.
Current Form
Lahti's overall Veikkausliiga record this term: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games (0.80 PPG). Last five: L L L L W. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.70 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes. This season is still relatively young for Lahti, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Lahti's form when playing at home: 2W 3D 5L across 10 games at Lahden Stadion this term (0.90 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game.
Kooteepee (all games): 1W 0D 9L across 10 Veikkausliiga outings this term — 0.30 points per game. Last five: L W L L L. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 2.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.50 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. Kooteepee haven't played a Veikkausliiga game yet this season, so this record is entirely from last season.
Kooteepee's away record: 0W 2D 8L from 10 road trips in Veikkausliiga this season (0.20 PPG). Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
The points-per-game gap of 0.50 in Lahti's favour (0.80 vs 0.30) is a statistically meaningful difference. The hosts are the form pick here, with draw protection the sensible hedge given the away side's competitiveness.
Head-to-Head
Across 3 previous meetings, Lahti are the stronger side on paper — 3 victories to 0, with 0 draws in between.
Attacking output has been a hallmark of this fixture. At 3.0 goals per game across 3 meetings, the Over 2.5 has a statistically grounded case from the head-to-head record alone. The most recent clash, on 3 Oct 2021, ended 2–1 with Lahti winning.
From a betting standpoint, the H2H backs both Lahti and goals. The home side's 3 wins from 3 meetings, combined with an average of 3.0 goals per game, gives the home win and Over 2.5 combination a historically grounded case.
Trading
Lahti half-time and goal-timing data (27 games, 13 at home): they score before half-time in 69% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 38% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 31% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 37%; they fail to score in 52% of games.
Kooteepee half-time and goal-timing data (27 games, 13 at away): they score before half-time in 85% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 62% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 77% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 37%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Lahti 44% versus Kooteepee 63%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Lahti 52% | Kooteepee 63%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Lahti 1.66 xG and Kooteepee 1.00 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Lahti attack 0.963 / defence 1.016 | Kooteepee attack 0.840 / defence 1.344. League average goals — home 1.283 / away 1.172. Kooteepee bring a strong defensive rating of 1.344 — this is suppressing Lahti's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 26 Lahti games / 6 Kooteepee games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Lahti 50% | Draw 31% | Kooteepee 20%. Fair-value odds: Lahti 2.00 | Draw 3.23 | Kooteepee 5.00. Lahti hold a narrow Poisson edge at 50% — the draw (31%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 50% | BTTS probability 54% | Total xG 2.66. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 50%/50% — the total xG of 2.66 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 54% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Lahti at 50% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 31% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Lahti if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.66 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 50% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence — though form averaging only 3.1 goals per game and H2H averaging only 3.0 goals per meeting point in the other direction.
Poisson assigns a 54% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Lahti 50% | Kooteepee 70% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Lahti vs Kooteepee | Competition: Veikkausliiga, Regular Season - 6 | Venue: Lahden Stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 13 May 2023, 12:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Lahti 50% | Draw 31% | Kooteepee 20% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 50% | BTTS 54% | xG Lahti 1.66 / Kooteepee 1.00 • Poisson strength factors: Lahti attack 0.963 / def 1.016 | Kooteepee attack 0.840 / def 1.344 | league avg home 1.283 / away 1.172 • Poisson stance: Lahti (50%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.66
Lahti xG
Expected Goals
1.00
Kooteepee xG
54%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Lahti vs Kooteepee kick off?
Lahti vs Kooteepee kicked off at 12:00 on Saturday 13 May 2023 at Lahden Stadion.
What was the final score in Lahti vs Kooteepee?
Lahti 0 - 0 Kooteepee.
Where is Lahti vs Kooteepee being played?
The match is being played at Lahden Stadion.
What competition is Lahti vs Kooteepee part of?
Lahti vs Kooteepee is a Regular Season - 6 fixture in the Veikkausliiga (Finland).
Who is favourite to win Lahti vs Kooteepee?
Our statistical model gives Lahti a 50% chance of winning, Kooteepee a 20% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw — making Lahti the favourite.
Will both teams score in Lahti vs Kooteepee?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both Lahti and Kooteepee will score (BTTS).
Will Lahti vs Kooteepee have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 50%.
What is the head-to-head record between Lahti and Kooteepee?
Record (3 meetings): Lahti 3W | Draws 0 | Kooteepee 0W.
What form are Lahti and Kooteepee in?
Lahti (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.70 | L5 L-L-L-L-W. Kooteepee (all comps): 1W-0D-9L in 10 | 0.30 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 2.50 | L5 L-W-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Lahti's attack at 0.96x the league average against Kooteepee's defence at 1.34x — combine the two and it projects 1.66 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Kooteepee's attack (0.84x) against Lahti's defence (1.02x) — and the away total comes out at 1.00.
These ratings are built from 26/6 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 13.1% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-0 (10.1%), 2-0 (9.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Lahti Win
50%
2.01
31%
3.25
20%
5.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.6%
Draw
2 – 0
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.66
Lahti xG
Total xG
2.66
1.00
Kooteepee xG
2.01
50%
Home win
3.25
31%
Draw
5.12
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.84
46%
BTTS No
2.19
Clean Sheet
37%
2.72
19%
5.26
Win to Nil
18%
5.47
4%
26.93
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.6 | 11.6 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Lahti vs Kooteepee?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.1%.
How many goals are Lahti and Kooteepee expected to score?
The model projects 1.66 expected goals for Lahti and 1.00 for Kooteepee, a combined total of 2.66.
How confident is the prediction model for Lahti vs Kooteepee?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 50%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Lahti come into this having played 27 games, going 5W 6D 16L for 0.78 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-L-L-W. The sample for Lahti is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Kooteepee sit at 0.41 PPG from 27 outings (2W 5D 20L), a run that reads L-W-L-L-L across their last five. Kooteepee haven't played enough this season for a current-season-only sample, so this includes results carried over from last season.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.78 PPG for Lahti against 0.41 for Kooteepee. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
Lahti's home form reads 2W 3D 8L across 13 games on their own ground, a 0.69 PPG return.
Away from home, Kooteepee have taken 0.38 points per game from 13 outings (1W 2D 10L).
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Lahti are averaging 0.96 goals scored and 2.04 conceded per game recently; Kooteepee are on 0.93 scored and 2.15 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Kooteepee in 63%.
Last 27 Results — Veikkausliiga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Lahti
Blended
Kooteepee
Pre-Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Lahti and Kooteepee in coming into this match?
Lahti have gone 5W 6D 16L in their last 27 games (0.78 PPG), while Kooteepee have gone 2W 5D 20L in their last 27 (0.41 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Lahti at home or Kooteepee away?
Lahti's home record (0.69 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Lahti at home: 0.69 PPG; Kooteepee away: 0.38 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 6 times since July 2021 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Veikkausliiga. It has been a while since the last meeting — 15 September 2023, some 2 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Lahti won 3-0 on 30 Jul 2021, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Lahti have gone 3W 1D 0L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Kooteepee — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 6 Meetings
4
Lahti
1
Draws
1
Kooteepee
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Lahti and Kooteepee?
From 6 meetings on record, Lahti have won 4, Kooteepee have won 1, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Lahti and Kooteepee last play each other?
They last met on 15 September 2023, when Lahti 2-1 Kooteepee.
Who has won more matches between Lahti and Kooteepee?
Lahti have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Lahti are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 69% of their matches.
Kooteepee are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 85% of their matches.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Lahti 38%, Kooteepee 62% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 31% (Lahti) and 77% (Kooteepee).
On the defensive side: Lahti have failed to score in 62% of games; Kooteepee in 31%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Lahti home games / Kooteepee away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Lahti play Kooteepee?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 38% of Lahti's recent matches and 62% of Kooteepee's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Lahti vs Kooteepee usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 31% of Lahti's recent games and 77% of Kooteepee's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Lahti and Kooteepee tend to score early?
Lahti have had a goal before half-time in 69% of their recent matches, Kooteepee in 85% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Lahti's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Lahden Stadion, Regular Season - 6, as Lahti and Kooteepee drew 0-0 in the Veikkausliiga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Lahti 1.66 xG and Kooteepee 1.00 xG, a combined 2.66. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Lahti fell 1.7 short of their projected output. Kooteepee landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lahti attack 0.96 / defence 1.02 against Kooteepee attack 0.84 / defence 1.34, drawn from 26/6 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Lahti 50% | Draw 31% | Kooteepee 20%, with Lahti to win its most likely call at 50%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 78% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lahti 52%, Kooteepee 63%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Lahti's trading profile (27 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 52% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Kooteepee's trading profile (27 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Lahti 0.78 PPG, Kooteepee 0.41 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Lahti (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.85 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.69 average — tighter than their form line. Kooteepee (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 2.46 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.