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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 17 June 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Friday 17 June 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Derry City vs Drogheda United at 58% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
3 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
2 : 2 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 1 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%

Showing 8 of 8 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 17 June 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Derry City vs Drogheda United at 58% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.