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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 9 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 9 September 2023. Stevenage vs Carlisle led the list at 55% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 17%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 16%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Stevenage
2 : 2 FT
Carlisle
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 70% Stevenage Clean Sheet 55%
#2 League One Β· England
Exeter City
1 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#3 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
1 : 4 FT
Crewe
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#4 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
1 : 3 FT
Valour
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#5 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#7 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
5 : 3 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 League Two Β· England
Colchester
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#9 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
4 : 1 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
#11 League Two Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1 FT
Notts County
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
2 : 3 FT
SC Braga
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
3 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
0 : 3 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 League Two Β· England
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 18%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 9 September 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stevenage vs Carlisle at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.