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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 14 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 14 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to SC Braga vs Santa Clara at 62% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 43%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
5 : 3 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
BTTS No 66% SC Braga Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 61% FC Porto Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
4 : 3 FT
Djurgardens IF
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
1 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 16%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
2 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
3 : 2 FT
Club Brugge KV
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 FT
Valencia
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 74%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
2 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#12 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
4 : 1 FT
York United
Win 22%
Draw 39%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 60%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
3 : 2 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 46%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
0 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 12%
Draw 22%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 57%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
0 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#20 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 14 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Braga vs Santa Clara at 62% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.