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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 11 July 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Monday 11 July 2022. Meizhou Kejia vs Chengdu Better City led the list at 52% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 60%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 2 FT
Nublense
Win 28%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 65%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
3 : 0 FT
D. La Serena
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 2 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 22%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
3 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
1 : 1 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
6 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
0 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Super League Β· China
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
2 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 11 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 11 July 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Meizhou Kejia vs Chengdu Better City at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.