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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 6 Dec 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Ester Roa

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

22%

Universidad de Concepcion

4.47

27%

Draw

3.75

51%

U. Catolica

1.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 2

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.86

Universidad de Concepcion xG

Total xG

2.32

1.46

U. Catolica xG

22%
27%
51%
Universidad de ConcepcionDrawU. Catolica

4.47

22%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

1.96

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

23%

Universidad de Concepcion

4.28

42%

U. Catolica

2.38

Win to Nil

5%

Universidad de Concepcion

19.17

21%

U. Catolica

4.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 14.3 10.4 5.0 1.8 0.5
1 8.5 12.4 9.0 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 3.7 5.3 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.865
λ Away (xG) 1.455
Total xG 2.320
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.674
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 0.971
U. Catolica attack strength 1.252
U. Catolica defence strength 0.797
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 45