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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

Municipal de Collao

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

35%

Universidad de Concepcion

2.87

26%

Draw

3.80

39%

Palestino

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Universidad de Concepcion xG

Total xG

2.61

1.35

Palestino xG

35%
26%
39%
Universidad de ConcepcionDrawPalestino

2.87

35%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

26%

Universidad de Concepcion

3.84

28%

Palestino

3.54

Win to Nil

9%

Universidad de Concepcion

11.01

11%

Palestino

9.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.9 6.7 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 9.3 12.5 8.4 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.9 7.9 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.263
λ Away (xG) 1.346
Total xG 2.609
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.046
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.779
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 1.246
Palestino attack strength 1.032
Palestino defence strength 1.144
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 36