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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 22 Nov 2026

21:00

Venue

Estadio Ester Roa

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Nublense Win

33%

Universidad de Concepcion

3.00

29%

Draw

3.44

38%

Nublense

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Universidad de Concepcion xG

Total xG

2.20

1.14

Nublense xG

33%
29%
38%
Universidad de ConcepcionDrawNublense

3.00

33%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

32%

Universidad de Concepcion

3.13

35%

Nublense

2.88

Win to Nil

11%

Universidad de Concepcion

9.39

13%

Nublense

7.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 12.6 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.7 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.2 7.1 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.2 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.059
λ Away (xG) 1.142
Total xG 2.201
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.198
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.675
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 0.972
Nublense attack strength 0.981
Nublense defence strength 0.974
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 45