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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Municipal de Collao

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Concepcion Win

57%

Universidad de Concepcion

1.74

25%

Draw

4.02

18%

Concepción

5.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Universidad de Concepcion xG

Total xG

2.36

0.76

Concepción xG

57%
25%
18%
Universidad de ConcepcionDrawConcepción

1.74

57%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

5.66

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

47%

Universidad de Concepcion

2.14

20%

Concepción

4.96

Win to Nil

27%

Universidad de Concepcion

3.73

4%

Concepción

28.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 7.2 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 15.1 11.5 4.4 1.1 0.2
2 12.1 9.2 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 6.4 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.602
λ Away (xG) 0.762
Total xG 2.364
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 0.993
Universidad de Concepcion attack strength 0.870
Universidad de Concepcion defence strength 0.988
Concepción attack strength 0.776
Concepción defence strength 1.215
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 2