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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

62%

Universidad de Chile

1.60

22%

Draw

4.45

15%

Union La Calera

6.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

2.68

0.81

Union La Calera xG

62%
22%
15%
Universidad de ChileDrawUnion La Calera

1.60

62%

Home win

4.45

22%

Draw

6.58

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

45%

Universidad de Chile

2.24

15%

Union La Calera

6.51

Win to Nil

28%

Universidad de Chile

3.59

2%

Union La Calera

42.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.9 10.4 4.2 1.1 0.2
2 12.1 9.7 3.9 1.0 0.2
3 7.5 6.1 2.4 0.7 0.1
4 3.5 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.873
λ Away (xG) 0.805
Total xG 2.678
League avg home goals 1.704
League avg away goals 1.158
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.281
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.768
Union La Calera attack strength 0.904
Union La Calera defence strength 0.858
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 31 / 31