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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

69%

Universidad de Chile

1.44

19%

Draw

5.29

12%

Union Espanola

8.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.12

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

2.87

0.74

Union Espanola xG

69%
19%
12%
Universidad de ChileDrawUnion Espanola

1.44

69%

Home win

5.29

19%

Draw

8.43

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

47%

Universidad de Chile

2.11

12%

Union Espanola

8.36

Win to Nil

33%

Universidad de Chile

3.04

1%

Union Espanola

70.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.1 9.0 3.3 0.8 0.2
2 12.8 9.5 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 9.1 6.7 2.5 0.6 0.1
4 4.8 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.123
λ Away (xG) 0.745
Total xG 2.868
League avg home goals 1.418
League avg away goals 1.048
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.375
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.859
Union Espanola attack strength 0.827
Union Espanola defence strength 1.088
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48