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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

23:00

Venue

Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

49%

Universidad de Chile

2.02

23%

Draw

4.42

28%

U. Catolica

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

3.20

1.35

U. Catolica xG

49%
23%
28%
Universidad de ChileDrawU. Catolica

2.02

49%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

26%

Universidad de Chile

3.84

16%

U. Catolica

6.40

Win to Nil

13%

Universidad de Chile

7.77

4%

U. Catolica

22.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.5 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.1
1 7.6 10.2 6.8 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.3 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 4.3 5.8 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.0 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.856
λ Away (xG) 1.346
Total xG 3.202
League avg home goals 1.524
League avg away goals 1.136
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.100
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.889
U. Catolica attack strength 1.333
U. Catolica defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40