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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

54%

Universidad de Chile

1.84

25%

Draw

4.03

21%

U. Catolica

4.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

2.52

0.90

U. Catolica xG

54%
25%
21%
Universidad de ChileDrawU. Catolica

1.84

54%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

4.81

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

41%

Universidad de Chile

2.45

20%

U. Catolica

5.05

Win to Nil

22%

Universidad de Chile

4.51

4%

U. Catolica

24.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 7.2 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 13.1 11.7 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.5 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.7 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.619
λ Away (xG) 0.897
Total xG 2.516
League avg home goals 1.533
League avg away goals 0.942
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.218
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.886
U. Catolica attack strength 1.074
U. Catolica defence strength 0.868
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 38