Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 13 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

50%

Universidad de Chile

2.00

24%

Draw

4.14

26%

Palestino

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

2.81

1.14

Palestino xG

50%
24%
26%
Universidad de ChileDrawPalestino

2.00

50%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

32%

Universidad de Chile

3.11

19%

Palestino

5.35

Win to Nil

16%

Universidad de Chile

6.22

5%

Palestino

20.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 6.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 11.4 6.5 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.6 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.7 5.4 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.678
λ Away (xG) 1.136
Total xG 2.814
League avg home goals 1.512
League avg away goals 1.103
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.271
Universidad de Chile defence strength 1.005
Palestino attack strength 1.025
Palestino defence strength 0.873
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 53