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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Wed 5 Nov 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

63%

Universidad de Chile

1.59

20%

Draw

4.94

17%

Everton de Vina

5.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

3.09

0.99

Everton de Vina xG

63%
20%
17%
Universidad de ChileDrawEverton de Vina

1.59

63%

Home win

4.94

20%

Draw

5.88

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

37%

Universidad de Chile

2.70

12%

Everton de Vina

8.16

Win to Nil

23%

Universidad de Chile

4.31

2%

Everton de Vina

47.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.5 9.5 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.0 7.0 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.7 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.099
λ Away (xG) 0.995
Total xG 3.094
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.113
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.301
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.998
Everton de Vina attack strength 0.896
Everton de Vina defence strength 1.100
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55