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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

23:00

Venue

Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

42%

Universidad de Chile

2.38

28%

Draw

3.63

30%

D. La Serena

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

2.38

1.07

D. La Serena xG

42%
28%
30%
Universidad de ChileDrawD. La Serena

2.38

42%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

34%

Universidad de Chile

2.91

27%

D. La Serena

3.70

Win to Nil

14%

Universidad de Chile

6.91

8%

D. La Serena

12.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 13.0 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.0 8.5 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.308
λ Away (xG) 1.067
Total xG 2.375
League avg home goals 1.533
League avg away goals 1.087
Universidad de Chile attack strength 0.946
Universidad de Chile defence strength 1.006
D. La Serena attack strength 0.975
D. La Serena defence strength 0.902
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37