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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 30 May 2026

22:30

Venue

Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Universidad de Chile Win

60%

Universidad de Chile

1.67

25%

Draw

3.96

15%

Concepción

6.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Universidad de Chile xG

Total xG

2.19

0.64

Concepción xG

60%
25%
15%
Universidad de ChileDrawConcepción

1.67

60%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

6.65

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.69

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

53%

Universidad de Chile

1.89

21%

Concepción

4.74

Win to Nil

32%

Universidad de Chile

3.16

3%

Concepción

31.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 7.1 2.3 0.5 0.1
1 17.4 11.0 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 13.5 8.6 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 7.0 4.5 1.4 0.3
4 2.7 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.557
λ Away (xG) 0.635
Total xG 2.192
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.150
Universidad de Chile attack strength 1.006
Universidad de Chile defence strength 0.799
Concepción attack strength 0.691
Concepción defence strength 0.966
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 13