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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 20 Jun 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

43%

Union La Calera

2.34

31%

Draw

3.22

26%

U. Catolica

3.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

1.92

0.80

U. Catolica xG

43%
31%
26%
Union La CaleraDrawU. Catolica

2.34

43%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

3.83

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.69

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

45%

Union La Calera

2.23

33%

U. Catolica

3.06

Win to Nil

19%

Union La Calera

5.21

9%

U. Catolica

11.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6 11.8 4.7 1.3 0.3
1 16.4 13.1 5.3 1.4 0.3
2 9.2 7.4 3.0 0.8 0.2
3 3.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.118
λ Away (xG) 0.803
Total xG 1.921
League avg home goals 1.556
League avg away goals 1.035
Union La Calera attack strength 0.843
Union La Calera defence strength 0.884
U. Catolica attack strength 0.877
U. Catolica defence strength 0.853
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 43