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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 24 May 2026

01:00

Venue

Municipal Nicolas Chahuan

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

52%

Union La Calera

1.91

24%

Draw

4.16

24%

Palestino

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.76

1.06

Palestino xG

52%
24%
24%
Union La CaleraDrawPalestino

1.91

52%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

35%

Union La Calera

2.88

18%

Palestino

5.48

Win to Nil

18%

Union La Calera

5.49

4%

Palestino

23.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 6.7 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.8 11.4 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.5 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.702
λ Away (xG) 1.058
Total xG 2.760
League avg home goals 1.600
League avg away goals 1.135
Union La Calera attack strength 0.980
Union La Calera defence strength 1.026
Palestino attack strength 0.909
Palestino defence strength 1.085
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42