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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palestino Win

28%

Union La Calera

3.64

29%

Draw

3.40

43%

Palestino

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.11

1.21

Palestino xG

28%
29%
43%
Union La CaleraDrawPalestino

3.64

28%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

30%

Union La Calera

3.34

41%

Palestino

2.46

Win to Nil

8%

Union La Calera

12.14

17%

Palestino

5.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 14.7 8.8 3.6 1.1 0.3
1 11.0 13.2 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 4.9 6.0 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.901
λ Away (xG) 1.206
Total xG 2.107
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.093
Union La Calera attack strength 0.779
Union La Calera defence strength 1.123
Palestino attack strength 0.982
Palestino defence strength 0.796
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 50