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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

56%

Union La Calera

1.78

23%

Draw

4.28

20%

Huachipato

4.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.72

0.96

Huachipato xG

56%
23%
20%
Union La CaleraDrawHuachipato

1.78

56%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

4.92

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

38%

Union La Calera

2.61

17%

Huachipato

5.84

Win to Nil

22%

Union La Calera

4.64

3%

Huachipato

28.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.2
1 11.6 11.1 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.0 5.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.764
λ Away (xG) 0.959
Total xG 2.723
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.144
Union La Calera attack strength 1.267
Union La Calera defence strength 1.018
Huachipato attack strength 0.824
Huachipato defence strength 0.900
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33