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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

01:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

43%

Union La Calera

2.31

27%

Draw

3.67

29%

D. La Serena

3.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.41

1.06

D. La Serena xG

43%
27%
29%
Union La CaleraDrawD. La Serena

2.31

43%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

3.40

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

35%

Union La Calera

2.88

26%

D. La Serena

3.85

Win to Nil

15%

Union La Calera

6.65

8%

D. La Serena

13.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 9.5 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.1 12.9 6.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.2 8.7 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.7 3.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.349
λ Away (xG) 1.059
Total xG 2.408
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.080
Union La Calera attack strength 0.780
Union La Calera defence strength 1.156
D. La Serena attack strength 0.848
D. La Serena defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 19