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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

23:00

Venue

Municipal Nicolas Chahuan

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

42%

Union La Calera

2.39

27%

Draw

3.75

32%

Coquimbo Unido

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.52

1.15

Coquimbo Unido xG

42%
27%
32%
Union La CaleraDrawCoquimbo Unido

2.39

42%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

32%

Union La Calera

3.16

25%

Coquimbo Unido

3.93

Win to Nil

13%

Union La Calera

7.57

8%

Coquimbo Unido

12.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.3 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.0 12.7 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.5 8.7 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.4 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.368
λ Away (xG) 1.152
Total xG 2.520
League avg home goals 1.549
League avg away goals 1.111
Union La Calera attack strength 1.057
Union La Calera defence strength 0.960
Coquimbo Unido attack strength 1.080
Coquimbo Unido defence strength 0.835
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 39