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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Tue 14 Apr 2026

01:00

Venue

Municipal Nicolas Chahuan

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union La Calera Win

65%

Union La Calera

1.53

20%

Draw

4.91

14%

Concepción

6.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Union La Calera xG

Total xG

2.83

0.82

Concepción xG

65%
20%
14%
Union La CaleraDrawConcepción

1.53

65%

Home win

4.91

20%

Draw

6.99

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

44%

Union La Calera

2.27

13%

Concepción

7.51

Win to Nil

29%

Union La Calera

3.47

2%

Concepción

52.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 4.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 11.8 9.7 4.0 1.1 0.2
2 11.9 9.8 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.0 6.6 2.7 0.7 0.1
4 4.0 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.016
λ Away (xG) 0.818
Total xG 2.834
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.060
Union La Calera attack strength 1.110
Union La Calera defence strength 1.071
Concepción attack strength 0.721
Concepción defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 8