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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

21:00

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Espanola Win

48%

Union Espanola

2.10

24%

Draw

4.14

28%

Palestino

3.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Union Espanola xG

Total xG

2.98

1.27

Palestino xG

48%
24%
28%
Union EspanolaDrawPalestino

2.10

48%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

3.56

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

28%

Union Espanola

3.55

18%

Palestino

5.55

Win to Nil

13%

Union Espanola

7.43

5%

Palestino

19.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.4 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.7 11.0 7.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.4 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.3 5.4 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.714
λ Away (xG) 1.266
Total xG 2.980
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.146
Union Espanola attack strength 1.069
Union Espanola defence strength 1.069
Palestino attack strength 1.033
Palestino defence strength 0.975
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 31 / 31