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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 12 Oct 2025

16:00

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Espanola Win

42%

Union Espanola

2.38

22%

Draw

4.55

36%

Huachipato

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Union Espanola xG

Total xG

3.56

1.71

Huachipato xG

42%
22%
36%
Union EspanolaDrawHuachipato

2.38

42%

Home win

4.55

22%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.23

Clean Sheet

18%

Union Espanola

5.53

16%

Huachipato

6.39

Win to Nil

8%

Union Espanola

13.18

6%

Huachipato

17.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.8 4.1 2.4 1.0 0.3
1 5.3 9.0 7.7 4.4 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 8.3 7.1 4.1 1.7 0.6
3 3.0 5.1 4.4 2.5 1.1 0.4
4 1.4 2.4 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.854
λ Away (xG) 1.710
Total xG 3.564
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.099
Union Espanola attack strength 0.998
Union Espanola defence strength 1.386
Huachipato attack strength 1.122
Huachipato defence strength 1.247
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53