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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Espanola Win

43%

Union Espanola

2.32

24%

Draw

4.08

32%

D. La Serena

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Union Espanola xG

Total xG

2.92

1.34

D. La Serena xG

43%
24%
32%
Union EspanolaDrawD. La Serena

2.32

43%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

26%

Union Espanola

3.81

21%

D. La Serena

4.85

Win to Nil

11%

Union Espanola

8.82

7%

D. La Serena

15.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 7.2 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 8.5 11.4 7.6 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 9.0 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.6 4.8 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.580
λ Away (xG) 1.337
Total xG 2.917
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.086
Union Espanola attack strength 0.907
Union Espanola defence strength 1.269
D. La Serena attack strength 0.970
D. La Serena defence strength 1.189
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 17