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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Tue 21 Apr 2026

01:30

Venue

Claro Arena

Competition

Primera División

Chile

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

U. Catolica Win

79%

U. Catolica

1.26

13%

Draw

7.82

8%

Union La Calera

12.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.90

U. Catolica xG

Total xG

3.74

0.84

Union La Calera xG

79%
13%
U. CatolicaDrawUnion La Calera

1.26

79%

Home win

7.82

13%

Draw

12.64

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

43%

U. Catolica

2.32

5%

Union La Calera

18.21

Win to Nil

34%

U. Catolica

2.92

0%

Union La Calera

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.2
1 6.9 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 10.0 8.4 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 9.6 8.1 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 7.0 5.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
5 4.1 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.902
λ Away (xG) 0.841
Total xG 3.743
League avg home goals 1.596
League avg away goals 1.089
U. Catolica attack strength 1.472
U. Catolica defence strength 1.011
Union La Calera attack strength 0.764
Union La Calera defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39